USA vs Paraguay Prediction & Odds – World Cup 2026 Group D Kicks Off in LA

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USA vs. Paraguay

13.06.2026 01:00 • Match • World Cup 2026
Home
USA
VS
Away
Paraguay
53%
Top implied chance
1x2
Selection
Odds
%
USA
1.9
53%
X
3.5
29%
Paraguay
4.2
24%
Markets
424
Selections
753
Enabled
751
Price Range
0 - 251
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
USA
1x2
53%
★★★☆☆
1.9
X
1x2
29%
★★☆☆☆
3.5
Paraguay
1x2
24%
★★☆☆☆
4.2
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
USA
First goal
61%
★★★★☆
1.63
None
First goal
12%
★☆☆☆☆
8.5
Paraguay
First goal
38%
★★★☆☆
2.62
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
USA or draw
Double chance
81%
★★★★★
1.23
USA or Paraguay
Double chance
77%
★★★★★
1.3
Draw or Paraguay
Double chance
55%
★★★★☆
1.81
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
USA
Draw no bet
71%
★★★★☆
1.4
Paraguay
Draw no bet
33%
★★☆☆☆
3
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
Paraguay (1:0)
Handicap 1x2
9%
★☆☆☆☆
11
Draw (1:0)
Handicap 1x2
18%
★☆☆☆☆
5.5
USA (1:0)
Handicap 1x2
82%
★★★★★
1.22
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
USA (0:2)
Handicap 1x2
12%
★☆☆☆☆
8.5
Draw (0:2)
Handicap 1x2
19%
★☆☆☆☆
5.33
Paraguay (0:2)
Handicap 1x2
79%
★★★★★
1.27
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
Draw (0:1)
Handicap 1x2
28%
★★☆☆☆
3.6
USA (0:1)
Handicap 1x2
28%
★★☆☆☆
3.6
Paraguay (0:1)
Handicap 1x2
53%
★★★☆☆
1.87
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
Paraguay (0:3)
Handicap 1x2
94%
★★★★★
1.06
Draw (0:3)
Handicap 1x2
11%
★☆☆☆☆
9.5
USA (0:3)
Handicap 1x2
5%
★☆☆☆☆
21
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
Paraguay (+0.75)
Handicap
58%
★★★★☆
1.71
USA (-0.75)
Handicap
45%
★★★☆☆
2.2
Selection
Win
Value Rating
Odds
Action
Paraguay (-0.75)
Handicap
18%
★☆☆☆☆
5.5
USA (+0.75)
Handicap
86%
★★★★★
1.16
📅 KickoffFriday June 12 – 02:00 BST / 02:00 Irish time
🏟️ VenueSoFi Stadium, Inglewood, Los Angeles
🔮 Our PickUSA 2–1 Paraguay
💰 Best MarketBoth Teams to Score @ ~1.85

02:00 Irish time on Saturday morning. The Stars and Stripes open their home World Cup at SoFi Stadium against a side making their first tournament appearance since 2010. Pochettino’s men are essentially evens at 1.90–2.00. The market is not giving this away – and for good reason. Pulisic leads the attack. Almirón leads the counter. When weighing up the most popular football bet types for this high-stakes opener, Both Teams to Score at 1.85 is the play.


Latest Odds: USA vs Paraguay

MarketOdds
USA Win1.90–2.00
Draw3.30–3.50
Paraguay Win3.75–4.10
Both Teams to Score – Yes~1.85
Over 2.5 Goals~1.90

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Correct June 10, 2026.


Predicted Lineups

USA (4-2-3-1): Freese; Dest, Richards/Ream, Ream, Robinson A; Adams, McKennie; Weah, Tillman, Pulisic; Balogun.

  • Pulisic (AC Milan) – captain, creator
  • Tillman (PSV) – dynamic midfield threat
  • Balogun (Monaco) – primary striker
  • Adams (Bournemouth) – midfield anchor

Paraguay (4-2-3-1): Fernández; Cáceres, Gómez, Alderete, Alonso; Cubas, Bobadilla; Almirón, Enciso, Sanabria; [forward TBC].

  • Almirón (Atlanta United) – counter-attacking danger
  • Enciso (Strasbourg) – direct, unpredictable
  • Gómez (Palmeiras, captain) – aerial threat

Injury News

Chris Richards (Crystal Palace) – ankle injury, missed warm-up vs Germany. Training with the group, day-to-day. High probability of starting but not confirmed.

Paraguay: No injuries. Full squad available.


Head to Head

DateResultCompetition
November 2025USA 2–1 ParaguayFriendly
1930USA 3–0 ParaguayWorld Cup

Most recent meeting: 2–1 to the hosts, both teams scored. The BTTS market applied in November – expect the same pattern Saturday.


Team History & Legends

USA reached the semi-finals of the 1930 World Cup – few people know that. Now Pulisic’s generation are the most talented American squad in history, competing week in week out at AC Milan, Juventus and Bournemouth.

Paraguay reached the 2010 quarter-finals – Cardozo, Santa Cruz, Gamarra at their peak. Almirón bridges that generation and the present. At 32, this is his last World Cup. He will not go quietly at SoFi.


Tactical Key: Almirón vs Robinson

Paraguay’s plan runs through one channel: Almirón in behind Antonee Robinson when he pushes forward. Robinson is adventurous and attack-minded – excellent going forward, exposed when caught high. If Alfaro’s men exploit that space once, they score. It is that simple.


What Changed Since 2010

2010: Paraguay quarter-finalists, golden generation, Almirón watching from home at 16.

2026: Almirón leads the squad at 32 in Los Angeles. Same tactical DNA. Different generation. The November 2025 friendly proved the pattern still applies.


Our Expert’s Take

“Evens for a home side tells you everything about how the market views this fixture. Alfaro has built specifically to frustrate possession-heavy teams – and that is exactly what Pochettino’s side are. The home team wins 2–1. Paraguay score through Almirón’s counter. Both Teams to Score at 1.85 is the play.”

– Waterford Today Sport


Where to Watch in Ireland

📺 ITV1 – free. 💻 ITVX – free stream. Kickoff 02:00 Irish time Saturday.


Score Prediction & Best Markets

USA 2–1 Paraguay.

Top 3:

  1. Both Teams to Score @ ~1.85
  2. USA Win @ 1.90–2.00
  3. Over 2.5 Goals @ ~1.90

Our World Cup 2026 tournament predictions cover every Group D fixture daily.



When Does USA vs Paraguay Kick Off in Ireland?

02:00 Irish time / 02:00 BST, Saturday June 13, SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles.

Where to Watch Free?

ITV1 and ITVX – free. RTÉ Sport may also carry the match.

Best Odds?

Both Teams to Score: ~1.85. USA Win: 1.90–2.00. Paraguay Win: 3.75–4.10.

Score Prediction?

USA 2–1. Best market: Both Teams to Score @ ~1.85.


Our Verdict: The home side wins but concedes. Almirón’s counter-attacking threat and the hosts’ recent clean sheet record make Both Teams to Score the primary value play at 1.85. USA 2–1 is the most analytically supported scoreline – back it with BTTS as the headline market.

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